|
Long-Range Strategic Plan for Campus Communications
Final Report
March 2003
1. Executive Summary
In 2001, Communication & Network Services (CNS) began to develop
a long-range strategic plan for electronic campus communications. The goal
was two-fold: identify a focus for information technology and telecommunications
efforts in a resource-constrained environment and re-evaluate the assumptions
behind large capital purchases of electronics and infrastructure.
CNS and a consultant, Western Telecommunications Consulting, gathered
detailed information on the current communications environment (voice, data
and video), surveyed future vendor offerings, and forecasted growth and technology
migration through 2012. With this data and analysis, the project team estimated
life-cycle operating costs (LCOCs) from 2002 through 2012 and evaluated
various alternatives for voice technologies (Centrex, PBX and Voice over
IP).
In summary, we found that:
- By 2012, the number of voice and data connections is expected
to grow approximately 80% from 68,000 to 122,000.
- LCOCs of $500 million (in 2001 dollars) through 2012 are
estimated, regardless of the technology alternative.
- Upgrades to the campus communications infrastructure are
critical to any long-term option.
- Assumptions behind the current infrastructure projects (ICCS,
Riser Project, CENIC ONI) are valid.
- To prepare for new technologies, UC Berkeley must control
its own communication infrastructure and facilities.
- Although new technologies are emerging, they do not appear
to be mature enough to revolutionize CNS’ service offering or financial
models.
- There is no compelling reason – financial or technological
– to immediately change the voice service platform.
As a result of the study, CNS intends to focus its long-range planning
efforts on the following:
- Continue to fund (or even accelerate funding) for Riser Projects,
ICCS, and CENIC ONI.
- Use pilot projects to deploy new technologies rather than
move the entire campus quickly toward any new service.
- Assume greater control of communications infrastructure and
facilities.
2. Background and Overview
Much of the existing campus communications infrastructure was built
over the last few decades on an ad-hoc basis as the technology was conceived
and developed at the University of California (UCB). At that time it was
unclear what a critical role this technology would play. Today, however,
there are forces at work that Communication & Network Services (CNS)
to implement a more proactive and systematic approach. These driving forces
include:
- Expiration of the campus’ SBC (formerly Pacific Bell) contract
in September 2004
- Aging infrastructure and on-going upgrades
- Emerging technologies
- e-Berkeley initiative (increasing demand for on-line information,
etc.)
- Increasing demand for information access and transport
Additionally, since 1996, the campus has funded approximately $15
million in improvements to the campus’ communications infrastructure. An
additional $25 million has been approved in concept, testifying to the importance
of electronic communications to the University’s academic mission and administrative
functions. CNS is aware of the significant amount of money and effort these
infrastructure projects cost the campus and regularly re-evaluate them.
In addition, CNS must ensure that the decisions the campus makes today regarding
the communications infrastructure will meet its future needs.
The long-range strategic planning effort started in 1997 as Project VOCAL
(Voice Options for CAL), which began as a project to review alternatives
for voice service because of the expiration of the contract with Pacific
Bell (now called SBC, who currently provides voice services to the campus).
Given the above stimuli, Project VOCAL evolved into a more comprehensive
project, and in 2001, CNS began creating a long-range strategic plan for
electronic campus communications through the year 2012.
CNS identified two major goals for the strategic planning process. First,
the campus needs a focus for information technology and telecommunications
efforts in a resource-constrained environment. Second, CNS needs to re-evaluate
the assumptions behind capital purchases of electronics and infrastructure
projects such as the Riser Project, the Inter-building Campus Communications
System (ICCS), and CENIC’s Optical Network Infrastructure (ONI) Initiative.
The project team consisted of staff from UCB’s Communication & Network
Services and a consulting firm, Western Telecommunications Consulting,
who facilitated the strategic planning process. Project Team members included:
Communications & Network Services:
Margaret Baker – Manager, Planning, Analysis & Outreach
Linda Chu – Project VOCAL Manager
Marv Eckard – Associate Director and Manager, Network Services
Cliff Frost – Director
Nancy Lim – Manager, Financial Services
Michael Sawyer – Manager, Operations, Installations & Repair
Western Telecommunications Consulting
Philip Beidelman – President
Karen Mattis – Practice Director
Dean Oyama – Consultant
Albert Slater, RCDD - Consultant
3. Scope of Work and Findings
The major components of the project were:
- Determine planning assumptions.
- Gather data describing current environment.
- Release a Request for Technology Update to vendors.
- Forecast growth and technology migration.
- Estimate associated costs and evaluate alternatives.
- Communicate with other campus groups.
3.1. Planning Assumptions
Planning assumptions were developed to establish guidelines for
the project plan. A detailed description of the planning assumptions is available
in References 1 and 2. Major assumptions are described in the section below.
The strategic plan
- covers the time period from 2001 through 2012.
- addresses voice, video and data network and needs.
- provides infrastructure to support uniform access to all
network functionality at all sites, regardless of location (campus, peripheral
or off-campus, see below for definitions).
- includes wired and wireless solutions.
- assumes that, starting in 2005, growth in voice will be Voice
over IP (VoIP).
Five alternatives for the voice network (described in Table 1) were
considered. Please note that throughout the planning process, it was
assumed that these alternatives were considered “forklift” solutions , i.e.,
only the one technology (e.g., Centrex, PBX, or VoIP) would be used exclusively,
rather than a mixture of one or more (e.g., PBX for campus+Centrex for periphery
and off-campus). Additionally, the Centrex alternative should not be considered
as a continuation of the existing Centrex service. The alternatives assume
proposed upgrades and enhancements to the existing voice and data networks
– equipment, infrastructure, new services, etc. – to meet the growing needs
of the campus.
Although not explicitly mentioned in the alternatives, the data networks
and wireless systems were also included in the planning process. Wireless
technology is expected to complement, not replace, wired access through
the planning horizon.
Table 1
Alternatives for the Voice Network
|
Alternative
|
Description
|
Centrex
|
Line oriented; re-use all telephones; augment
riser systems, outside plant and closets; purchase new LAN equipment
|
Private Branch Exchange (PBX) with monolithic
database and distributed switching
|
Line oriented*: re-use analog and key equipment;
replace “5000” telephone; augment riser systems, outside plant and closets;
purchase new LAN equipment
|
Port oriented**: re-use analog equipment;
replace “5000” telephones and key equipment; augment riser systems, outside
plant and closets; purchase LAN equipment
|
VoIP
|
Re-use analog equipment; replace “5000”
telephones and key equipment, augment riser systems, outside plant and
closets; purchase LAN equipment
|
Replace all telephones with IP telephones;
augment riser systems, outside plant and closets; purchase LAN equipment
|
* Line oriented – The use of a Centrex
or PBX system to produce dial tone to individual telephones or groups of
telephones through a key system arrangement. UCB is currently a line oriented
telecommunications environment.
** Port oriented – The use of a PBX system or VoIP technology to produce
telecommunications ports for each telephone. The existing key systems would
be replaced with individual “port oriented” multi-line telephones.
3.2. Current Environment
UCB currently supports separate voice, data and video networks.
Voice and data are supported by Communication & Network Services. Video
services are supported by Educational Technology Services (ETS), formerly
Office of Media Services (OMS). The following sections describe the voice,
data and video environments as they existed in early 2001, when the strategic
planning process started.
Voice: Wired voice service to CNS-supported buildings
is provided primarily through the 1989 SBC/Pacific Bell contract with UCB.
Service is supported through a DMS 100 Centrex and local key systems and
is distributed via copper. There are approximately 28,000 wired voice connections
(or ports). Wireless voice communication is supported via approximately
500 cellular phones, 900 pagers and 700 two-way radios. Detailed information
regarding the type (e.g., analog versus digital) and number of Centrex lines
was available to the building level.
Data: The basic campus network service consists of
10 Mb ethernet to the desktop, interconnected by a campus-side FDDI backbone.
Additionally, there are several dozen, 100 Mb ethernet cluster and a small
amount of Gigabit ethernet. There are approximately 40,000 desktop connections
on approximately 400 logical subnets. High-speed data connectivity between
off-campus buildings and the UCB network is provided by SBC/Pacific Bell
and AT&T Broadband. Detailed information regarding the type (e.g., 10
Mb versus 100 Mb ethernet) and number of data connections, switches, routers
and other networking equipment was available to the telecommunications
room (or “closet”) level.
Video: Video service on campus is primarily baseband
audio and video over specialized circuits and is separate from the campus
voice and data networks. A few buildings (without copper AV facilities) are
served via wireless from the campus ITFS transmitter on San Bruno Mountain.
The central AV control point on campus is Dwinelle Hall, with the audio and
video cables radiating from Dwinelle Hall to other campus buildings. One
or two video circuits are provisioned to each connected building, so there
is a limit of one or two simultaneous programs to a building. The bandwidth
of the video circuits is at least 6 MHz; audio bandwidth is at least 15 kHz.
Signals are NTSC composite video for display in classrooms, with image
sizes ranging from a 23-inch direct view CRT to a 25-foot high quality
projection system. There are several “return” signal circuits from large
lecture halls or specialized classrooms to bring programming back to the
Dwinelle Hall control room for recording or further distribution. Presently
44 rooms in 15 buildings are connected, and there are 8 video return circuits.
Structures served by CNS
The plan encompassed over 500 buildings and structures served by CNS,
including student residence halls, family student housing, space housed by
UC affiliates (e.g., UC Extension). For the purposes of this study, a building
is defined as any structure with a voice or data connection fed to it. Buildings
were categorized into the categories in Table 2.
Table 2
Campus Designations
|
Category
|
Description
|
Number
|
Campus
|
a building physically located on the campus
proper or connected by pathway that UCB owns and controls
|
178
|
Peripheral
|
a building (leased or owned) not part of
the campus proper but served by Pacific Bell’s Berkeley01 Central Office
|
192
|
Off-Campus
|
a building not part of the campus
proper or the peripheral (excluding remote field locations)
|
172
|
Total
number of buildings served by CNS
|
542
|
The list of buildings included in the planning process is listed in the
Infrastructure Assessment Worksheets (Attachment III of Reference 1) or Table
VIII of Reference 2: Buildings and Structures Included in the Project.
Inter-building infrastructure
Although virtually all campus buildings are connected to the campus data
network, most of the buildings are connected through ad hoc pathways, including
old telecommunications conduits, steam tunnels, or other conduits previously
used for other functions. These conduits are at capacity in many places.
Others are damaged and no longer usable. Still others pose a hazard to people
working in them (e.g., steam tunnels). This limits future connectivity and
service upgrades, which makes some projects impossible and lengthens the
implementation times of others. To meet the vision of a common campus “communications
backbone” in support of multiple communications services, The Inter-building
Campus Communications System (ICCS) project is designing and constructing
a system of underground conduits and vaults specifically for communications
cabling. Three of the seven major portions of the ICCS have been completed.
CNS estimates that the remainder of this project will cost approximately
$11 million, with a total cost of approximately $19 million. (The cost of
the ICCS project is funded through the Central Campus and is not included
as part of this project.) Figure 1 shows the late 2002 status of the ICCS.
Voice service is provided via outside plant (OSP) copper as depicted
in Figure 2 of Reference 1: Outside Copper Plant Based on PacBell Drawings.
Riser systems: Approximately two-thirds of campus buildings
use coaxial cabling in their vertical (or riser) cabling systems, which
is not capable of supporting more than shared 10 Megabit per second ethernet
and does not allow flexibility in how services are provided and supported.
CNS has created a project, the Riser Project, that will upgrade these systems
to the industry standard of multi-mode and single-mode fiber optic cables.
The Riser Project will also redesign and remodel the telecommunications
rooms and cabling pathways, if necessary. CNS has proposed the Riser Project
but has been unable to procure a dedicated funding source for the upgrades.
CNS estimates that the remaining riser upgrades will cost approximately
$14 million, with a total project cost of $21 million. (The cost of the
Riser Project is included in the infrastructure costs of this project.) Figure
1 shows the late 2002 status of the Riser Project.
Telecommunications Rooms (“Closets”)
There are over 900 telecommunications rooms or “closets” serving the
voice and data networks. A preliminary list was created from CNS’ database
(Mystic) and was reviewed by a representative group of engineers, technicians
and managers. This technical review group was to correct errors in the list
(room numbers, locations, etc.) and determine the viability of the closets
through the term of the planning horizon (i.e., would the closet be able
to continue to provide service through 2012). The condition of the closets
were compared to those recommended in the BICSI Telecommunications Distribution
Methods Manual – Ninth Edition and were categorized as described in Table
3. Detailed information regarding the condition of the telecommunications
rooms is located in Infrastructure Assessment Worksheets (Attachment III
of Reference 1).
Based on the technical review, although the majority of the closets (Category
Y) can provide service through 2012, significant improvements still are
required before non-Centrex voice services can be deployed.
Table 3
Categories for Telecommunications Room Condition
|
Category
|
Description
|
# of Closets
|
Y
|
The closet that can remain as is. In other
the words, the size and condition of the closet will allow it to service
the campus through the planning horizon.
|
536
|
A
|
The closet requires minimal remodeling to
bring it to a condition that will allow it to service the campus through
the planning horizon. Remodels include:
- More electrical outlets
- Simple air-conditioning conducting
- Plywood addition to open wall space
- Storage removal
- Janitorial equipment removal
|
28
|
B
|
The closet requires moderate remodeling
to bring it to a condition that will allow it to service the campus through
the planning horizon. Remodels include:
- Air conditioning installation
- Janitorial plumbing removal
- Addition of proper lighting
- Simple wall adjustments to expand the room
|
27
|
C
|
The closet requires significant remodeling
to bring it to a condition that will allow it to service the campus though
the planning horizon. Remodels include:
- Expanding the room into nearby areas
- Enclosing the existing closet area with walls
- Building a ceiling onto existing closet areas
- Air conditioning installation
- Janitorial plumbing removal
- Addition of proper lighting
- Addition of proper electrical
- Addition of proper grounding
- Possible asbestos removal
|
9
|
Rebuild
|
The closet cannot be remodeled; a new closet
must be built either on the same floor or a nearly floor to allow it to
service the campus through the planning horizon. The new closet will be
built to the current BICSI standards.
|
136
|
Abandon
|
The closet will not be abandoned, rather
than rebuilt or remodeled. Horizontal cabling will be re-cabled to another
closet in the area.
|
40
|
Unsure
|
It is not clear that this closet exists.
A physical survey should be conducted
|
102
|
Total
Number of Telecommunications Closets
|
878
|
3.3. Vendor Offerings
To ascertain what new technologies might emerge during the planning
horizon, vendors were to provide information on their research and development
projects in the areas of telephony, wireless voice, wireless data, campus
backbone, campus metropolitan area network/wide area network, and video.
The following vendors were asked in June 2001 to respond to UCB’s “Request
for Technology Update” (Reference 3).
- Alcatel
- AT&T Broadband
- Avaya
- Caspian Networks
- Cisco
- Ericsson
- 1st Virtual Communications
- Juniper Networks
- Lucent Technologies
- Malibu Networks
- Nortel Networks
- SBC/Pacific Bell
Five vendors responded: Avaya, Caspian Networks, Cisco, Nortel, and SBC/Pacific
Bell. These responses confirmed the project team’s understanding of the
market for Centrex, PBX , VoIP and wireless technologies. However, it did
not uncover any new technologies that would significantly change the directions
developed in the Planning Assumptions (see Section 3.1) or that would dramatically
enhance or reduce pricing of the current or planned service offerings through
the planning horizon. Two of the more promising technologies that CNS is
continuing to explore are:
Non-blocking internal fabric core offered by Caspian Networks – This
core would allow for 4 microsecond delay through the UCB core at a speed
in excess of 60 to 100 Gigabits per second, allowing UCB to forego a 10
Gigabit core and migrate directly to a higher speed core with greater control
of the network.
IP Centrex – The roll-out for IP Centrex will continue for the next three
years (through 2004). IP Centrex currently does not provide the same level
of reliability as traditional Centrex and therefore should not be used
for emergency telephones or voice circuits. If VoIP were deployed, special
analog Centrex circuits need to be deployed to ensure E911 capabilities.
3.4. Growth and Migration
The project team also estimated the amount of growth in the network
for the time periods listed in Tables 4, 5 and 6: 2004, 2006 and 2012.
First, the team categorized the space serviced by telecommunication closets
into various usage categories and estimated growth in voice and data connections
separately, as described in Tables 4 and 5. Growth in video was assumed
to be in IP and is included in the data growth estimates.
Then each telecommunications closet was categorized by the technical
review group (see Telecommunications Rooms section above) as serving areas
with a particular usage. Growth in the number of voice ports was calculated
at a building level; data available to CNS did not allow the team to associate
numbers of voice ports to specific closets. Growth in data ports was calculated
at the closet level. For example, a closet that serves several floors of
office space is estimated to increase the number of voice and data connections
by 10% and 20%, respectively, between 2001 and 2006. When a telecommunications
closet (or building, in the case of voice connections) functions under
multiple usage functions, the most aggressive growth classification was
used.
Table 4
Summary of Growth Variables used for Voice
|
Growth Category
|
Description
|
Working @ Cut Year
2001*
|
Equipped Year 2004**
|
Wired Year 2006**
|
Capacity Year 2012**
|
Family Student Housing
|
Apartments
|
Out of scope; not
served by CNS.
|
Non-family student housing
|
Residence halls
|
Given per room
|
0
|
0
|
0 (based on direction of cellular)
|
Classrooms
|
All classrooms
|
Given (1 connection per general assignment
classroom: est = 240)
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
Offices
|
All offices, admin, faculty, grad student,
staff
|
Given
|
WAC x 1.1
|
WAC x 1.2
|
WAC x 1.5
|
Computer Labs/Computer Farms
|
Classroom & labs
|
Given (1 connection per room)
|
WAC
|
WAC
|
WAC
|
Research Labs
|
Research Labs
|
Given (1 connection per lab)
|
WAC
|
WAC
|
WAC
|
Drop-in Areas for wireless
|
Public areas subject to wireless. (Many
categories may have drop-in areas)
|
Not Applicable
|
Libraries
|
Library (targeted for drop-in wired
apps)
|
Given
|
WAC
|
WAC x 1.1
|
WAC x 1.1
|
Recreational Facilities (RSF, Hearst Gym,
Memorial Stadium, Etc
|
|
Given
|
WAC x 1.1
|
WAC x 1.1
|
WAC x 1.2
|
Storage and Low/density
|
|
Given
|
WAC
|
WAC
|
WAC
|
Hospital/ Clinic
|
|
Given
|
WAC x 1.1
|
WAC x 1.2
|
WAC x 1.5
|
* Working at Cut is defined as the number of
ports currently in use at the time of the study.
**Please see Table 6 for a complete definition of this term.
Table 5
Summary of Growth Variables used for Voice Data
|
Growth Category
|
Description
|
Working @ CutYear 2001
|
EquippedYear 2004
|
WiredYear 2006
|
CapacityYear 2012
|
Comment
|
Family Student Housing
|
Apartments
|
Given and sized per an algorithm
|
0
|
0
|
WAC x 2
|
|
Non-family student housing
|
Residence halls
|
Given per pillow
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
Saturated
|
Classrooms
|
All classrooms
|
Given (1 connection per general assignment
classroom: est = 240)
|
WAC x 2
|
WAC x 3
|
WAC x 4
|
|
Offices
|
All offices, admin, faculty, grad student,
staff
|
Given
|
WAC x 1.1
|
WAC x 1.2
|
WAC x 1.5
|
|
Computer Labs/ Computer Farms
|
Classroom & labs
|
Given (1 connection per seat)
|
WAC
|
WAC
|
WAC
|
Saturated
|
Research Labs
|
Research Labs
|
Given (1 connection per lab)
|
WAC x 1.1
|
WAC x 1.2
|
WAC x 1.5
|
|
Drop-in Areas (for wireless data)
|
Public areas subject to wireless.
(Many areas may have drop-in areas)
|
Not applicable
|
Used only for future wireless
|
Libraries
|
Library (targeted for drop-in wired apps)
|
Given
|
WAC x 1.1
|
WAC x 1.2
|
WAC x 1.2
|
After year 5, assumes conversion to wireless
|
Recreational Facilities (RSF, Hearst Gym,
Memorial Stadium, etc)
|
|
Given
|
WAC x 1.1
|
WAC x 2
|
WAC x 4
|
|
Storage and Low/density
|
|
Given
|
WAC
|
WAC
|
WAC x 2
|
Assumes a change in space function or additional
devices, e.g., PDA
|
Hospital/ Clinic
|
|
Given
|
WAC x 1.1
|
WAC x 1.2
|
WAC x 1.5
|
|
Table 6 describes the design requirements of the networks at the various
time periods used to estimate costs.
Table 6
Description of Time Periods Used to Estimate Growth
|
Year
|
Voice
|
Data
|
2001 – Working at Cut (WAC)
|
The number of ports
(or connections) currently in use.
|
2004 – Equipped
|
The system should be designed so that all
hardware, such as interface cards, shelves, cabinets, bandwidth, power,
and all software can accommodate this number of connections. The growth
in the number of voice connections from WAC and Equipped will require the
installation of station apparatus and the associated horizontal cables only.
|
The system should be designed so that all
hardware, such as switch ports and network blades, shelves, cabinets, core
bandwidth, power, and all software can accommodate this number of connections.
Growth in the number of connections from WAC to Equipped will require the
installation of network-ready workstations and the associated horizontal
cable.
|
2006 – Wired
|
The system should have all hardware (excluding
line cards and station apparatus), such as interface cards, shelves, cabinets,
bandwidth, power, and all software to accommodate this number of voice
connections. Growth from WAC to Wired will require the installation of
line cards, station apparatus, and associated horizontal cable.
|
The system should have all hardware, such
as core bandwidth, power, and all software to accommodate this number of
connections. Growth from WAC to Wired will require the installation of
switch ports, network blades, shelves, cabinets, network-ready workstations,
and associated horizontal cable.
|
2012 – Capacity
|
The number
of connections the system must be able to accept without requiring additional,
separate, non-integrated systems, floor space or power requirements. Growth
from Wired to Capacity will require the adjustments described in Wired
plus cabinets and main processors.
|
Growth due to planned capital projects of new buildings were also
considered. A list of these projects is included as Appendix A.
In addition to growth in the number of data ports, the type of network
technology also was expected to change, as older equipment is replaced.
Table 7 summarizes the timetable for the planned technology conversions
through the planning horizon.
Table 7
Summary of Data Conversions Throughout the Planning Horizon
|
Growth Category
|
Description
|
Working at CutYear 2001
|
EquippedYear 2004
|
WiredYear 2006
|
CapacityYear 2012
|
Older Network
Technologies
|
10 Hub
|
10 Base-T Hub
|
Given
|
Convert 50% to 10/100 Switch
|
Convert 50% to 10/100 Switch
|
Zero
|
Riser AUI
|
AUI Riser Transceiver
|
Given
|
Convert 50% to 100 Switch
|
Convert 50% to 10/100 Switch
|
Zero
|
AUI-10
|
AUI Transceiver 10 Base-T
|
Given
|
Convert 50% to 10/100 Switch
|
Convert 50% to 100 Switch
|
Zero
|
AUI-Thin
|
AUI Thin Net
|
Given
|
Convert to 10/100 Switch
|
Zero
|
Zero
|
10 Switch
|
10 Base-T Switch
|
Given
|
WAC growth converts to 10/100
|
Convert to 100 Switch
|
Zero
|
10/100 Switch
|
10/100 Base-T Switch
|
Given
|
WAC + Converts + Growth (convert 10% to
GIGE)
|
WAC (convert 20% to GIGE)
|
Convert 50% to GIGE and 50% to 100BaseT
|
Newer Network
Technologies
|
100 Switch
|
100 Base-T Switch
|
Given
|
WAC
|
WAC + converts + growth
|
WAC (about 25,000)
|
GIGE Switch
|
1000 Base-T Switch
|
Zero
|
Converts from 10/100
|
Converts from 10/100
|
Converts from 10/100 + growth (about 50,000)
|
Wireless Data
Technologies
|
Wireless Access Points
|
Wireless Access Points
|
Buildings listed w/Wireless x 2% of the
data ports
|
Buildings listed w/Wireless x 2% of the
data ports
|
Buildings listed w/Wireless x 2% of the
data ports
|
Buildings listed w/Wireless x 2% of the
data ports
|
Data Backbone
Technologies
|
Riser Board 10 Meg
|
10 Meg Fiber Riser Board
|
Given
|
Convert to Gig 50%
|
Convert 50% to Gig
|
Zero
|
Riser Board 100 Meg
|
Riser Board 100 Meg
|
120
|
Convert to Gig 50%
|
Convert 50% to Gig
|
Zero
|
Riser Board 1Gig
|
Riser Board 1 Gig
|
Zero
|
Converts + Growth
|
Converts + Growth
|
Growth
|
Backbone Concentrator
|
FDDI Concentrators
|
Given - Convert 50% to 1 Gig core
|
Convert 50% to 1 Gig core
|
Zero
|
Zero
|
1 Gig Core
|
1 Gig Core
|
Converts + growth
|
Convert 50% to 10 Gig core
|
Convert 50% to 10 Gig core
|
Zero
|
10 Gig Core
|
10 Gig Core
|
Zero
|
Converts + growth
|
Convert 50% to 100 Gig core
|
Convert 50% to 100 Gig core
|
100 Gig Core
|
100 Gig Core
|
Zero
|
Zero
|
Converts + growth
|
Converts + growth
|
Riser Chassis
|
Fiber Chassis
|
Given
|
WAC
|
WAC
|
WAC
|
3.5. Estimated Costs and Evaluation of Alternatives
Using costing data from WTC experience and previous UCB projects,
the UCB project team estimated the cost to convert to the proposed alternative
and evaluated the relative merits or each.
Life Cycle Operating Costs (LCOC)
Estimates of the Life Cycle Operating Costs (LCOC) were developed for
each of the five alternatives, as shown in Figure 3. The costs described
below assume a complete cutover of all CNS-supported structures from the
current Centrex voice service to the proposed alternative. Pricing was based
on the university and WTC’s experience. The cost estimates include:
- Incremental increases in staffing and training, where applicable.
- Capital costs for voice and data equipment, etc.
- Capital costs for infrastructure, excluding the cost of the
Inter-building Campus Communications System (ICCS), which is to be funded
separately.
- Maintenance costs.
- Growth in features and station equipment.
- Conversion to VoIP telephones after 2005
- Centrex contract costs through 2004
- Refreshing the data network every 4 years
- Refreshing the PBX hardware every 6 years (for PBX option
only)
- Capital expenditures for data equipment, voice equipment,
and infrastructure financed over 4, 6 and 10 years, respectively.
- Financing rate of 6%
Please see the Capital and 10-year Life Cycle Operating Cost Model
Summary Charts and Detail Spreadsheets (Attachment VI of Reference 1) for
more details, such as annual life cycle costs and capital costs models.
A benchmark LCOC was also developed. The benchmark LCOC assumed that
there would be no change in the services CNS offers through the planning
horizon. It is a straight-line projection of CNS’ 2000 budget, assuming
3% growth. This benchmark cost was developed for comparison purposes only.
It does not meet the desired design requirements for growth and redundancy
of the voice and data networks.
Evaluation of Alternatives
The project team noted the advantages and disadvantages of each alternative
(See Appendix B). WTC also provided its own analysis of the relative merits
of the various alternatives for voice, as described in Table X of Reference
1. Although each technology is viable, it is unlikely that any one solution
is ideal for all the structures served by CNS. This is in part due to the
campus’ diverse geography with structures throughout the cities of Berkeley,
Albany, Oakland, Richmond and the rest of the San Francisco Bay Area. Also,
VoIP currently cannot adequately address the E911 requirements of a university
environment. If VoIP were deployed, special analog Centrex circuits need
to be deployed to ensure E911 capabilities.
The existing OSP copper can be used to deploy a PBX system on the campus
proper, using a star configuration with 25 node systems (See Figure 4 of
Reference 1: PBX Node locations and the resulting areas of coverage). The
node systems would be connected via meshed fiber backbone using the campus
backbone fiber (the proposed ICCS). This design will require the splicing
of OSP copper in many maintenance manholes and remodel of closets to accommodate
PBX switches (see Attachment IV of the Reference 1).
However, much of the existing communications infrastructure will not
be able to support enhanced voice and data services. Approximately $30 million
in infrastructure improvements will be required to implement any of the alternatives.
Furthermore, as currently planned, the conversion from hubs to switches
by 2006 would not be in time for the expiration of the Centrex contract
in September 2004. Either this conversion will need to be accelerated to
accommodate VoIP solutions or conversion will need to happen in stages as
the hubs are replaced.
Wireless access needs in outdoor areas of the campus were also identified,
as shown in Figure 5 of Reference 1: Wireless Areas Needing Coverage. Assuming
a 150-radius of coverage, potential locations of wireless access points
were determined. Please see Figure 6 of Reference 1: Wireless Outside Design.
3.6. Communication with Other Campus Groups
As part of the planning process, Communication & Network Services
solicited input from and communicated progress with other campus service
providers (Capital Projects, Physical Plant–Campus Services (PPCS), Educational
Technology Services), faculty, and other campus IT professionals (through
the Network Advisory Committee). Presentations were also made to the Vice
Chancellors Advisory Committee (VCAC) and various academic departments (as
requested). Updates were also published in the Berkeley Computing and Communications
and on the project’s web page http://cns-pao.berkeley.edu/Vocal.
4. Conclusions and recommendations
As described previously, the project team evaluated Centrex, two
versions of Private Branch Exchange (PBX) and two versions of Voice over
IP (VoIP) and their associated annual and life cycle operating (LCOC) costs.
Many of the findings and conclusions were much as expected:
- Upgrades to the campus communications infrastructure (e.g.,
ICCS, riser systems) are critical to any long-term option. – Upgrades
to the Inter-building Campus Communications System (ICCS) and riser systems
are needed to maintain current offerings. They become even more critical
when considering emerging technologies, such as VoIP, with the additional
power, equipment, and space requirements.
- Assumptions behind the ICCS, Riser Project and CENIC ONI
continue to be valid. – Estimated costs for the ICCS and Riser Projects
matched with those developed independently by CNS. The strategic plan
assumed a more aggressive scheduling and funding than currently exists to
provide services like PBX and VoIP.
- To prepare for new technologies, UC Berkeley must control
its own communication infrastructure and facilities. – To maintain
and fully leverage the advantages of new technologies, CNS will need to
better control access to and flexibility of the voice and data networks.
This becomes of special concern if voice traffic is routed through the
traditional data network, as issues surrounding security and quality of
service arise. UCB can work with vendors to create more partnership and
a more cooperative relationship then it currently experiences, or UCB can
bring the voice services in-house.
“Control” also includes maintaining an accurate accounting of its
infrastructure and facilities. This will also facilitate current development,
operations and maintenance efforts. Eventually, CNS should eliminate, as
much as possible, field visits (except for major installations, e.g., new
equipment) and allow more remote control. The existing database was based
on a commercial-off-the-shelf billing system, which was modified, is not
likely to meet this need and should be replaced.
The project team also found that:
- By 2012, the number of voice and data connections (nodes)
is forecasted to grow approximately 80 percent from 68,000 to 122,000.
Figure 1 illustrates the growth over the planning horizon. Growth in video
services is assumed to be over IP and is included as “data” nodes.
- Total Life Cycle Operating Costs (LCOC) of $500 million
(in 2001 dollars) through 2012 can be expected, regardless of the technology
alternative implemented. (See Figure 2.) This corresponds to annual
operating costs of $50 million per year or a $35 to $45 per month cost per
voice, video, or data node (in 2001 dollars). Please note that the options
were “forklift” solutions. They assumed that only the one technology (e.g.,
Centrex, PBX, or VoIP) would be used exclusively, rather than a mixture
of one or more (e.g., PBX+Centrex, PBX+VoIP).
- Although new technologies are on the horizon, they do
not appear to be mature enough to revolutionize our service offerings or
financial models. Although five vendors responded to our Request for
Technology Update, most of the technologies offered were nearly production-ready
(within the next 1 to 3 years) and did not reflect future offerings during
the mid- or latter stages of the planning horizon. Of the few research
and development efforts discussed, none were compelling enough to make
significant changes to our existing operations or planning.
- There is no compelling reason, financial or technological,
to immediately change our voice service platform. Consequently, CNS
should pursue extending or renewing the Centrex voice services contract
while focusing planning efforts as described in the following sections.
When compared to comparable studies conducted by other universities
and available industry data, CNS found that they had made similar findings
with respect to LCOC and the cost of major platform changes.
As a result of this study, CNS intends to focus its long-range communications
planning efforts on the following:
- Continue to fund (or even accelerate funding) for Riser Projects,
ICCS, and CENIC ONI.
- Use pilot projects to deploy new technologies rather than
move the entire campus quickly toward any new service.
- Assume greater control of communications infrastructure and
facilities.
Specific implementation tasks are noted in the following section.
5. Implementation Plan
The implementation plan separates tasks based on the time frame
in which they should be completed – either before the current Centrex contract
expires (short-term) or within the 2012 horizon (long-term).
5.1. Short-term projects (by Fall 2004)
These projects should be completed before the end of the current
Centrex contract expires in September 2004.
Extend Centrex Services
- Review current contract: What services to keep? Any additional
services? Lower costs? Any terms not fulfilled during the last contract that
need revisiting? Any other points of negotiation?
- Review vision with SBC.
- Re-negotiate contract with SBC.
Begin a pilot project for voice services at Richmond Field
Station (RFS)
- The existing ROLM switch (PBX) must be replaced in early 2003.
CNS should view RFS as a pilot project for future voice services on campus.
Can a PBX or VoIP solution be implemented at this site that also may be suitable
(at a larger scale) on the campus?
- Review potential solutions with vendors and release a Request
for Proposals.
Coordinate infrastructure projects
Do design changes need to be made to ICCS and riser systems
(CEVs, conduit counts, closets)? Do locations of entry points onto campus
need to be changed or additional ones added? How should upgrades be prioritized
to facilitate the deployment of pilot projects or new technologies (e.g.,
upgrade risers in buildings where the ICCS is completed)?
Meet at least once a quarter to discuss high-level voice planning – copper
capacity on-campus and peripheral buildings (e.g., Strawberry Canyon).
Coordinate with SBC (Tim Randel and Greg Wong) for information on cable
counts, potential solutions to capacity issues (e.g., dial tone over fiber,
transferring pairs from one building to another).
Are there opportunities to take better control of the infrastructure/facilities?
Continue to learn about emerging technologies
- Technical briefings with vendors (similar to the Request for
Technology Update for this project) should be scheduled every year.
- Pilot projects for the following:
- VoIP – An IPCentrex technical pilot was completed in late
2002. CNS concluded that the technology was still limited, but that it could
be deployed at remote sites if a suitable cost structure was offered by
SBC. Other pilots of VoIP technology should be implemented (e.g., limited
tests with equipment in the controlled environments vaults, using the ICCS
infrastructure and facilities).
- Unified Messaging – A technical pilot for unified communications
offerings began in spring 2002. At the time of this report, none of the
solutions seemed to meet all the identified needs and requirements either
technically or financially. However, the pilot has identified two potential
vendors and should be offering some new services by mid-2003.
- Wireless – Beginning in Fall 2001, a pilot wireless LAN
service became available in a few selected locations around campus. The
new service, known as AirBears, enables one to connect to the campus network
with a laptop equipped with a wireless Ethernet card. The service is based
on the IEEE standard 802.11b wireless LAN technology, which supports speeds
of up to 11 Mbps. Current efforts are introducing 802.11a technology. Similar
pilot projects should be considered for wireless voice technology.
Migrate to an infrastructure-based database
- Identify the needs and requirements of the database.
- Determine whether the new database will be commercial-off-the-shelf
(COTS) or designed in-house.
- Buy COTS or begin design and creation of new database.
5.2. Long-term issues (2012 horizon)
These issues need be addressed during the 2012 planning horizon.
- Academic Strategic Plan – Do CNS’ plans fit the Academic Strategic
Plan?
- New Century Plan – Do CNS’ plans fit the New Century Plan?
Where are the growth areas?
- Long-Range Development Plan - Do CNS’ plans fit in the Long-range
Development Plan? Where are the growth areas?
- Be prepared in 2012 to take voice services for campus proper
back in-house. What are the regulatory issues with providing in-house voice
service? Staffing? Training? Organizational Structure? Billing and financial
systems and processes?
- Infrastructure improvements – Will the Riser and ICCS be completed?
- What demands will video services put on the network(s)?
- What role will wireless and VoIP technologies play?
- Outside plant and facilities maps and records – Are we keeping
these updated? Do we have what we need? Can we get the entire infrastructure
onto a single CAD file for planning purposes? Will we have the information
that we need when we take control of the voice facility?
- General staffing issues.
- Space and power issues.
6. References
- Western Telecommunications Consulting, Development of the
Telecommunications Infrastructure Business Plan – University of California,
Berkeley – Final Report – Volumes 1 through 5, December 15, 2001.
Volume 1: Final
Report
|
Volume 2: Planning
Assumptions
|
Volumes 3 – 5:
Attachments
|
|
Campus Outside Plant Drawings
|
|
Physical Node Room Closet Survey
|
|
Technology Update – List of Vendor Response
Documents
|
|
Capital and 10-year Life Cycle Operating
Cost Model Summary Charts and Detail Spreadsheets
|
- Western Telecommunications Consulting, Planning Assumptions,
Final Draft, July 6, 2001.
- Western Telecommunications Consulting, Technology Update,
June 28, 2001.
- Western Telecommunications Consulting, Station Port Model
– Volumes 1 through 3, July 9, 2001.
Appendix A
Planned Capital
Projects
|
Project Name
|
Campus Designation
|
# of Voice Ports
|
# of Data Ports
|
Completion Date
|
Central Dining and Offices
|
Peripheral
|
400
|
400
|
2004
|
College Durant Student Housing
|
Peripheral
|
200
|
200
|
2004
|
Davis Hall Replacement
|
Campus
|
200
|
200
|
2006
|
East Asian Studies
|
Campus
|
100
|
100
|
2006
|
2601 Hearst New GSPP
|
Campus
|
300
|
300
|
2004
|
New Hearst Mining Bldg
|
Campus
|
800
|
300
|
2004
|
Soda Hall 2
|
Campus
|
500
|
200
|
2012
|
SRB1
|
Campus
|
1000
|
300
|
2004
|
Stanley Hall Replacement
|
Campus
|
1000
|
300
|
2006
|
Warren Hall Replacement
|
Campus
|
500
|
300
|
2012
|
Barker Renovation
|
Campus
|
250
|
100
|
2004
|
RH1 addition
|
Peripheral
|
240
|
240
|
2006
|
RH2 addition
|
Peripheral
|
240
|
240
|
2006
|
Residence Hall (on Channing)
|
Peripheral
|
200
|
200
|
2006
|
2200 Bancroft
|
Peripheral
|
50
|
30
|
2001
|
2200 Bancroft Replacement/Tang
#1
|
Peripheral
|
500
|
250
|
2012
|
2200 Bancroft Replacement/Tang
#2
|
Peripheral
|
500
|
250
|
2012
|
Fox Cottage
|
Peripheral
|
10
|
5
|
2001
|
Mens Faculty (data only)
|
Campus
|
100
|
0
|
2001
|
Girton Child Care
|
Campus
|
5
|
0
|
2001
|
Total for All Planned Capital Projects
|
7095
|
3915
|
|
Appendix B
Advantages and
Disadvantages of Each Voice Technology
|
Advantages
|
Centrex
|
PBX
|
VoIP
|
| Known technology |
CNS has more control over switch configuration,
allocation of features, etc.
|
CNS has more control over configurations,
allocation of features, etc. |
Low risk – Vendor assumes risk for regulatory,
financial, and operational aspects
|
More control over quality of service to customers
|
More control over quality of service to customers
|
Known cost
|
More flexibility over technology§
Can re-use existing OSP and riser copper
|
Improved network
|
Provides flexibility (e.g., can choose different
key systems, phones, etc.)
|
CNS interprets regulatory issues
|
Improved infrastructure
|
Serves a large community/area with the same
services
|
Can reuse key systems
|
More flexibility over technology
|
Vendor has a large pool of staff – This has
ramifications for training and offering 24X7 service
|
Increased flexibility in design of systems
|
Greater flexibility in new features - soft
PC, soft phone, mobility (phone calls can follow you from phone to phone,
place to place), unified messaging is easier
|
Won’t need more space for additional equipment
(switch and related power equipment) or staff*
|
|
Ability to set features via internal software
|
Vendor has carrier class facilities (related
to *)
|
|
CNS interprets regulatory issues
|
Vendor handles disaster recovery (related
to *)
|
|
Reduced number of ports
|
Centrex service is reliable
|
|
New, cool technology
|
Vendor manages flexible routing system (FRS)
|
|
|
Vendor handles provisioning
|
|
|
Vendor handles right-of-way issues during
off-campus construction
|
|
|
|
Disadvantages
|
Centrex
|
PBX
|
VoIP
|
Need to learn to manage the relationship
with the vendor/provider
|
CNS will need to learn to manage this service
(more staff, provisioning, geographic diversity)
|
CNS will need to learn to manage this service
(more staff, provisioning, geographic diversity)
|
Need to learn to manage the service
|
Need more space, power, etc.
|
Unknown costs/ Potential for cost increase
- Cost of improved infrastructure
- Cost of improved network
- ? Need to replace p-phones and/or key systems
- Will need 24X7 staffing. Other staffing increases (number of staff,
training)?
|
Flexibility creates additional maintenance
and support costs
|
Unknown costs/Potential for cost increase
(or at least the perception of this)- May have to replace
all p-phones- Will need 24X7 staffing
|
CNS handles regulatory issues
|
Restricts technology advancement – much of
this will be left up to the vendor; we may not keep up with the technology
as much because we’re not forced to do so.
|
CNS handles regulatory issues
|
Greater power requirements
|
Limits our offering new services
|
CNS handles right-of-way issues during off-campus
construction
|
Limited scalability (haven’t seen anything
yet that can handle a campus this size)
|
CNS loses control over some things – e.g.,
billing, authorization codes; “CNS services will only be as good as the
vendor’s.”
|
CNS must obtain all call detail (e.g., pick
list, trunking)
|
Limited reliability
|
Vendor can withhold information (e.g., cable
maps, cable information)
|
CNS handles disaster recovery
|
Susceptible to denial-of-service attacks
|
Vendor is interpreting regulatory issues.
|
|
? Limited voice features (e.g., maybe only
offer approx. 80 different features vs. approx. 300 different features on
traditional technology)
|
|
|
Limited compatibility with carrier switches
|
|
|
Quality of Service on data network – Data
will become a second-class citizen
|
|
|
Single point of failure for both voice and
data
|
|
|
Security, Privacy, Fraud issues – these are
harder to prevent
|
|
|
Unknown implementation – will need two parallel
networks in the beginning
|
|
|
CNS must obtain all call detail (e.g., pick
list, trunking)
|
|
|
CNS handles disaster recovery
|
General Notes/Assumptions
- In Centrex and PBX, we will be moving network growth to VoIP
in 2005.
- We are moving to MPOE the entire campus.
- We handle the relationship with long distance vendors for
FRS only.
- Voice and data will be on the same network for VoIP.
- Regardless of the alternative chosen, there will be an increase
in staff and training costs (will need more staff, staff with different skills).
How much varies with each alternative.
- For PBX and VoIP, we will need 24X7 staffing coverage.
- Whatever we do, it won’t be one of these (more likely
some mixture).
- If we don’t offer a service/technology, our customers will
do it on their own. We need to keep up with demand, but we do not need to
be early adopters. We should learn from others’ experiences.
Internal
Last revised: June 16, 2004
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